Germany – Italy, Nations League – Prediction

The Italians will have a difficult task

Regarding the last game, in the first half the difference came from Italy’s use of width in attack. This led to the change of direction of the long-passing attack. And when that happens, sooner or later you end up with spaces in the center of the attack. If the Italians can do that for a long period of time, the team will win. Because of this, it is also of great importance that the Italians have the option to make these types of passes. The second significant thing about Italy’s action is the four-man attack in the penalty area, which is clustered close together in the center of the field. The Italians will have to deal with centering and specifically the spacing between the three defenders inside the penalty area.

The central striker and the area around the penalty spot are key to Germany’s game.

The Germans, in the second half of the last game, closed down the opportunities for Italy, started to play in certain areas, and put the ball into the penalty area with centering passes to the penalty area. This brought them success in the match. It is logical that they repeat this in the second leg. Although Germany has a one-goal advantage from the first leg, we expect them to dominate.

Germany and Italy shared a half in the first leg and the visitors eventually won 2:1.

I see no reason to change the style of play in the second game because both teams have their strengths and will chase them. Shots from outside the penalty area will be present again. Due to the fact that both teams play and prepare their attack seriously and for a long time, it is normal that the number of shots will not be high. However, when there is a ball headed toward the goal, it is always quite dangerous and the possibility of there being shots is high. My prediction in this match is Both teams to score at odds of 1.80.