– At. Madrid has only conceded 2 goals in its last 12 games in the elimination phase of the Champions League
🟢 Atletico has nothing to lose
Madrid, by presumption, performs better in tournament battles, which is logical against the background of Simeone’s style. Last year, however, the team had focused entirely on the title and was eliminated in the tournament relatively early. Now, however, the team is in the battle for the top 4 and is striving for a strong performance in the Champions League. For years, Atletico has been almost unbeaten at home in the elimination phase. In the first match, Simeone aimed simply to prevent a goal, which, however, did not come true. Now we will hardly see a big change in the approach of his team. Carrasco returns for Atletico, but Jimenez is out.
🙌 Man City is in a very difficult series of matches
City played a great game against Liverpool and spent a lot of energy in the battle of the season in the Premier League, which ended without a winner. Citizens also want to win the Champions League, which is their number one goal, but they also have a semi-final with Liverpool in the FA Cup on Saturday, so the schedule for them is extremely complicated and it is very important how Guardiola will be able to rotate his squad in these meetings. Diaz is still out for Man City.
ℹ️ Atletico are more stable at home in the Champions League than the odds show
Atletico Madrid can be an extremely dangerous team in a tournament battle, especially in this phase of the Champions League. They have proven it many times and it is no coincidence that they even eliminated Liverpool when the Reds were the reigning champions in the tournament few years ago. Certainly City are stronger in quality, but Atletico’s style is quite uncomfortable. Overall, I expect Atletico to defend again and try to use the opponent’s mistakes, especially in the second half, when it will open a little more. I think that the victory for City is not as certain as the odds show and it is worth playing the double chance for the Spaniards. Prediction – Atletico +0.5 Asian Handicap at 2.05.



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