How are Mathematical Predictions Made?

Football is math! As bookmakers use it to calculate their odds, so our tipsters have developed a special algorithm that includes the most important factors influencing a sporting event, and each generated mathematical prediction is reviewed manually by our specialist, who adds the unknown news for the algorithm, which is the reason for the high success of our football predictions in this section.

There are no 100% sure predictions, but there are 100% value bets. I think you will find a lot of the latter here.

Mathematical predictions for football matches

23 Jan 19:30

Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

Holstein Kiel

1,40

Short reason

Arminia Bielefeld are struggling, failing to win in their last six games and scoring only two goals in that span.

Holstein Kiel have shown solid defensive form, with 11 of their 18 league matches finishing under 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head history also favors a low-scoring game – the first meeting this season ended 2–0 for Arminia.

The hosts are unlikely to create many chances, while the visitors remain organized and control the game well defensively.

23 Jan 19:30

Germany - 2. Bundesliga

Darmstadt

Nurnberg

1,80

Short reason

Darmstadt host Nurnberg aiming to cement their spot in the automatic promotion places in 2. Bundesliga.

The home side are in excellent form, unbeaten at Merck-Stadion with six wins and three draws, and boast one of the league’s most potent attacks.

Nurnberg come off two consecutive wins, but their defense remains shaky, especially on the road.

Head-to-head history favors Darmstadt, including a 1–0 win in the reverse fixture this season.

23 Jan 21:30

Spain - Segunda

Malaga

Burgos

2,10

Short reason

Málaga host Burgos in a tight clash between two teams fighting for promotion, both level on points.

Head-to-head history slightly favors Burgos, who are unbeaten in the last seven meetings with Málaga (4 wins, 3 draws).

Málaga are in good form at home, but Burgos’ defensive stability points to a low-scoring game.

Both teams can score and concede, but the match is likely to feature few goals.

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23 Jan 21:30

Germany - Bundesliga

Sankt Pauli

Hamburger SV

1,40

Short reason

In the city derby between St. Pauli and Hamburger SV, we expect an intense clash between two teams that concede goals regularly.

St. Pauli has allowed goals in 16 of their last 17 matches, while Hamburger SV has done the same in nine of their last ten.

Both teams are also in form to score – six of the last seven games for each team featured goals.

This city derby is a perfect setup for goals on both sides.

23 Jan 21:45

Belgium - 1st Division A

Standard Liege

Gent

1,40

Short reason

Standard Liège return home after a 0-2 loss to Charleroi and have struggled for consistency, failing to win their last three home games.

Gent come in confident after an impressive 4-2 win over Anderlecht and have a dominant record against Standard, winning 8 of the last 9 meetings.

H2H history shows Gent clearly control this fixture, taking 13 of the last 18 encounters between the sides.

The match is likely to be high-scoring, with both teams expected to find the net given Standard’s defensive vulnerabilities.

23 Jan 22:00

England - Championship

Derby County

West Bromwich

1,40

Short reason

Derby County come in strong at home with back-to-back wins and only one defeat in their last four games at Pride Park.

West Brom are struggling, winless in five matches and suffering a heavy 0-5 loss to Norwich last time out.

H2H history shows low-scoring games, with 7 of the last 9 encounters finishing under 2.5 goals.

A narrow home win for Derby with few goals looks likely.

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23 Jan 21:30

Italy - Seria B

Carrarese

Empoli

2,20

Short reason

In the clash between Carrarese and Empoli, both teams have struggled to score in recent weeks.

Carrarese scored three goals in their last three matches, while Empoli managed three in their last five.

Most recent games involving these teams have ended under 2.5 goals.

This match is likely to follow the trend, suggesting a low-scoring affair.

23 Jan 22:00

Spain - La Liga

Levante

Elche

1,53

Short reason

Levante are deep in trouble and badly need points, which should push them to play more aggressively at home.

Their defence remains fragile, having failed to keep a clean sheet in any home league game this season.

Elche are one of the positive surprises of the campaign and continue to create chances even during their recent dip.

Recent form on both sides points toward an open game with goals at both ends.

23 Jan 21:00

Netherlands - Eerste divisie

De Graafschap

RKC Waalwijk

1,40

Short reason

De Graafschap are slight favorites, but their recent form suggests this won’t be an easy match for them.

RKC Waalwijk are also having a solid season and look strong enough to challenge the hosts.

Both teams prefer attacking football, which should lead to an open and entertaining game.

The hosts have scored 34 goals in 22 matches, while the visitors are even more productive with 42 goals so far.

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What are Mathematical Predictions

Our mathematical football predictions are created on the basis of complex computer calculations with a specially modified algorithm. There is no such thing anywhere in the world.

Behind each likely result, which we anticipate, are not only statistics such as total points won, last 5 matches, results between the two teams for the last two years but also the most key factors for the respective match. They are determined individually for each match. For example, for a match, a key factor may be fatigue if they played 2-3 days ago with a similar lineup. For another, there may be absent players, especially if the goal scorers are missing. For others, it can be motivation. Several factors may be involved at the same time.

Every day on this page you will find our mathematical predictions for today of more than 20 leagues from around the world. We would like to inform you that this page will often undergo positive changes and its purpose will be to be of maximum use to you when choosing bets

How can we make Profit from them

The most important thing before we place a bet is to be informed. These predictions save you time analyzing matches, tracking statistics, or other similar factors and are provided completely free of charge.

If you are a fan of the accas, you can combine several bets into one. If you prefer single bets, choose one with the appropriate odds and play it on a single betting slip.

We recommend focusing on 1-2 championships and, when you want to place a bet, check what probabilities our algorithm has determined

Mathematical predictions and their benefits

Mathematical predictions in betting offer numerous advantages by leveraging data-driven insights to enhance decision-making and improve winning chances. By applying statistical models, probability theory, and historical data, bettors can gain a clearer understanding of the likelihood of different outcomes. These methods help eliminate emotional biases, ensuring decisions are based on logic rather than impulse or gut feelings.

They also allow bettors to identify value bets—situations where the odds provided by bookmakers underestimate the true probability of an event happening. Additionally, predictive algorithms and machine learning models can refine these insights, calculating probabilities with greater accuracy by continuously learning from new data. Tracking key metrics, such as odds movement, team performance, weather conditions, injury reports, and home/away advantages, enables bettors to uncover trends and patterns that may be invisible to the casual observer.

Utilizing mathematical predictions also helps improve long-term strategies, allowing bettors to mitigate risks by adjusting their bets based on changing probabilities. To maximize success, these insights should be combined with disciplined bankroll management and diversification across multiple bets, ensuring a more sustainable and measured approach to betting.

Overall, mathematical predictions can provide bettors with a critical edge in identifying profitable opportunities while reducing unnecessary losses.

4.2/5 - (220 votes)

Mathematical Football Predictions

Win 750 € – 1 500 € per month with our predictions

What are Mathematical Predictions

How can we make Profit from them

Mathematical predictions and their benefits